Analysis: ‘No free lunch’ for Lebanon any more, donor states warn

Analysis: ‘No free lunch’ for Lebanon any more, donor states warn - Financial Markets Worldwide

No results matched your search

Forex2 hours ago (Nov 17, 2020 10:01AM ET)

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Aftermath of Tuesday's blast in Beirut's port area© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Aftermath of Tuesday’s blast in Beirut’s port area


By Samia Nakhoul and John Irish

BEIRUT/PARIS (Reuters) – Western powers seeking to rescue Lebanon’s teetering economy have given the country’s leaders an ultimatum: there will be no bailout unless they form a credible government to overhaul a bankrupt state – and do it quickly.

France, the United States and other donors who repeatedly came to Lebanon’s aid since the 1975-90 civil war are losing patience with its politicians, many of them familiar faces in charge during the country’s descent into economic crisis.

Huge protests erupted against the ruling elite last year as people blamed them for looking after vested interests while national debts mounted. The pandemic further strained resources and a huge port blast in August destroyed large areas of Beirut.

As dollars run low, basic goods including some medicines are in short supply and more people in Lebanon are falling below the poverty line.

French President Emmanuel Macron, a natural ally given Lebanon is a former French colony, rushed to the city after the explosion and tried to convince politicians to introduce at least partial reforms to confront the emergency.

But rival factions are still mired in turf wars, and Lebanon has not formed a new government since the last one was brought down by the blast and its aftermath. As in previous deadlocks, each side blames the other.

In talks in Beirut last week, Patrick Durel, an adviser to Macron on the Middle East and North Africa, made clear that while Paris remains committed, “we will not bail them out unless there are reforms”, according to two sources who were present.

“Those times have changed”, he said.

A Western diplomat said France was still trying to host a planned conference on rebuilding Beirut by the end of November, but doubts remained.

“There are no developments,” the diplomat said. “The Lebanese politicians are back to their way of doing business and what’s worrying is the complete disregard for the population.”


Dorothy Shea, the U.S. ambassador to Lebanon, speaking to an online conference of the CSIS think-tank in Washington on Friday, said the United States “gets that Lebanon matters” and that “avoiding state failure…has to be first and foremost.”

But she added: “We can’t really want it more than they do.”

Shea said there would be no bailout without reforms.

“We got smart,” she said, adding there would be “a step-by-step approach and no free lunch.”

Saad al-Hariri, the Sunni prime minister-designate under the country’s sectarian power-sharing agreement, is struggling to form a cabinet.

Some sources say efforts have been complicated by recent U.S. sanctions against Gebran Bassil, the son-in-law of President Michel Aoun who heads the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), Lebanon’s largest Christian party.

Bassil was sanctioned on corruption charges and ties with the Iran-backed Shi’ite paramilitary group Hezbollah, Lebanon’s most powerful party and a strike-force for Tehran across the region, which Washington deems a terrorist organisation.

He denies the corruption charges.

The main sticking point, official sources say, is Aoun and Bassil’s insistence on nominating Christian ministers in an 18-member government. Hariri wants all ministers to be specialists and not affiliated to political parties.

A source close to the talks said some involved identified Bassil as the main obstacle to a cabinet being formed. Bassil denies the accusations, saying that since others were able to nominate ministers, his party was entitled to the same.

A source familiar with Hezbollah’s thinking said that Durel asked the group to try to persuade Bassil, a close ally, to soften his stand, but that Hezbollah was reluctant to exert further pressure on him as it could weaken him further.


Several sources said the current standoff was suicidal for the country, which is running through its foreign reserves fast. They are estimated at just $17.9 billion.

Because of the sanctions, which U.S. ambassador Shea acknowledged were part of the outgoing Donald Trump administration’s “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran, Tehran and allies are opting to wait until Trump leaves office.

But some officials in Lebanon warned against playing the waiting game.

“The message from the French now is clear: no government, no reform, then au revoir, merci,” said a senior political source familiar with the talks.

“And if the French wash their hands of this, then who will still look at us? The Gulf? The U.S.? Nobody.

“At the end of the day, they don’t know how to deal with exceptional times and challenges…We’re still dealing with government formation as if these are normal days.”

Shea said donors had to “stick to their guns”, otherwise the political elite would not take them seriously.

“If they don’t feel the sense of urgency to form a government how can we keep the pressure on them?” she said. “They look at us and say ‘try to make us reform – It’ll be fun watching you’.”

Related Articles

Indian govt's latest stimulus to boost jobs, credit, farm sector

Indian govt’s latest stimulus to boost jobs, credit, farm sector
By Reuters – Nov 12, 2020

By Aftab Ahmed and Swati Bhat NEW DELHI (Reuters) – The Indian government announced a fresh stimulus of $16.1 billion on Thursday to be spent largely on creating jobs and boosting…

Stock Rally Fizzles, Powell to Speak, Gloomy IEA - What's up in Markets

Stock Rally Fizzles, Powell to Speak, Gloomy IEA – What’s up in Markets
By – Nov 12, 2020

 By Geoffrey Smith — The global rally in stocks fizzles, jobless claims and U.S. CPI data are due, and the heads of the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and…

Biden's Treasury pick may be key to climate, jobs, and equality agenda

Biden’s Treasury pick may be key to climate, jobs, and equality agenda
By Reuters – Nov 12, 2020

By Howard Schneider WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Incoming U.S. Treasury secretaries have been confronted over the past two decades with the financial rescue of other countries, the…

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

XL subscribe to our newsletter banner

Get the latest news and advice on COVID-19, direct from the experts in your inbox. Join hundreds of thousands who trust experts by subscribing to our newsletter.

Send your news and stories to us or and WhatsApp: +447747873668.

Before you go...

Democratic norms are being stress-tested all over the world, and the past few years have thrown up all kinds of questions we didn't know needed clarifying – how long is too long for a parliamentary prorogation? How far should politicians be allowed to intervene in court cases? To monitor these issues as closely as we have in the past we need your support, so please consider donating to The Climax News Room.

Leave a Reply